US Peace Envoy Claims Progress Regarding Talks with Taliban

| January 28, 2019

Zalmay Khalilzad states that significant progress has been made with Taliban talks.(AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool, File)

The U.S. Peace envoy declares that a lot of progress has been made in negotiations with the Taliban. The hope is to, “End the destructive war in Afghanistan”. One has to ask, “By which standards?”

The Taliban doesn’t want to include the Afghanistan government in these talks. They want a withdrawal of US and NATO forces. They insist that no substantive progress can be made in the talks without puling the troops out.

It appears that the Taliban are dictating terms, and not offering something substantive that they would live up to their end of the bargain.

From Associated Press:

It wasn’t clear whether Khalilzad is seeking written guarantees from the Taliban that they will distance themselves from al-Qaida operatives, including Ayman al Zawahiri, who live among them or at the very least have safe passage and havens within territory they control.

It’s similar to what happened towards the end of the Vietnam War. The removal of U.S. troops in 1973 contributed to making it harder for us to guarantee that the North would live up to its end of the peace accords. Removal of U.S. and NATO troops from Afghanistan removes one solid way we could pressure the Taliban to live up to their end of the “understanding”:

More from Associated Press:

It wasn’t clear how the U.S. could verify Taliban promises to ensure Afghan territory is not again a staging arena for attacks outside its borders.

There was also no indication that the Taliban would agree to a cease-fire, which Khalilzad has been seeking, or when the Taliban would hold direct talks with the Afghan government, something they have continued to reject.

A couple of the graduates from Guantanamo Bay were among the leadership that served as Taliban negotiators. They were two of the five GITMO graduates traded to the Taliban in exchange for Bowe Bergdal.

The Taliban negotiating team that met this week in Qatar with Khalilzad were all senior members of the movement. They included…Muhammad Fazl and Khairullah Khairkhwah.

Both Fazl and Khairkhwah were among five Taliban freed from the U.S. prison at Gunatanamo Bay in 2014 in exchange for U.S. Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl who had been captured by the Taliban in 2009 after he wandered off his base.

The entire Associated Press article on this topic can be read here:

Category: Afghanistan

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rgr769

This presence of two of the five Slamonazi’s traded by 0 for Berg-Boi proves what a terrific deal maker he was. Obviously, we need one his acolytes at the helm in 2021.

Aysel

How do you negotiate peace with a warlord? Honestly, you either take the warlords out or you “live” with the consequences of letting them live.

2/17 Air Cav

As long as our people are out of that shithole, I don’t care what lies are told and what agreements are signed. Too many lives and too many years, for what? “All in or all out” should be the motto hanging over every doorway in the Pentagon.

Max

Agree absolutely!!

Mason

More treason from Obama. Literally giving away enemy leaders in exchange for a traitor, ignoring Congress as he did so you’ll recall. How is BHO remembered as anything but a foul up and moron?

A Proud Infidel®™

I remember him mainly as a narcissist and traitor who sold his soul to his party’s agenda!

Mason

Also another great example of a “public servant” who never has a real job but becomes a millionaire.

rgr769

But, but …but, what about all that hard work as a lawer representing that real estate gangster/felon?

Martinjmpr

It’s similar to what happened towards the end of the Vietnam War. The removal of U.S. troops in 1973 contributed to making it harder for us to guarantee that the North would live up to its end of the peace accords. Removal of U.S. and NATO troops from Afghanistan removes one solid way we could pressure the Taliban to live up to their end of the “understanding” Except that there are some very major differences: The first is that North Vietnam was by every measure a modern state with a modern (and very competent) military force. The chances that they WOULDN’T violate the 1973 Peace Agreement weren’t microscopic once US forces no longer had any way to apply leverage. By contrast, the Taliban is made up of the same bunch of ragged camel jockeys that has been sniping at each other since the days of Alexander the Great and the chance of them being able to form an actual functioning government (much less a capable military force) are laughable. Next, not only were the NVA a modern military force, but they were backed up by not one but TWO world powers, the USSR and Red China, while there is no shadowy world power backing up the Taliban, just the usual number of radical islamic losers who form the global “gang that couldn’t shoot straight.” Third, this is a post 9/11 world. What I mean by that is that when the NVA initiated their surprise attack in early 1975, with some very limited goals, the ARVN folded like a cheap suit and they took advantage of the chaos to push for a final resolution, while the US, badly burned by Vietnam, Watergate, the Middle East crises, etc, simply wrung it’s hands and said “sorry, there’s nothing we can do” until Saigon finally fell. By contrast, if a resurgent Taliban were to somehow come close to re-takin all of Afghanistan (which I doubt they could do) and raise the specter of another failed state that would serve as a breeding ground for Islamic terror groups, the US and its allies would likely… Read more »

A Proud Infidel®™

I’ve not only studied History, I’ve done a tour in A-stan and have come to the conclusion that some people CANNOT be civilized. In their culture family and Tribe come first, someone from Ablablablaptui Village will never give even a tiny tinker’s damn about anywhere else, thus they still can’t muster a decent Army, that and that Country has MAYBE a thirty percent literacy rate that and most of them will change alliances, even in the middle of a battle.

Mason

That’s one reason I wonder why we insisted on keeping Iraq a single state. Seems they all hate each other, so we should have split it into three (Shia, Sunni, and Kurds).

Martinjmpr

Well, off hand I’d say 3 states = 3 times the work and 3 times the problems for us to deal with. Leaving it as a single state means Iraq can deal with the internal issues themselves (as a nation should and did under previous rulers.)

Fyrfighter

Seems to me the only thing we should send to any of these shitholes is ordinance… the smallest of which should be a MOAB… I have absolutely no problem with the deployment of nuclear weapons in these areas… the only reasons they’re not a deterrent are 1. Because it’s been so long that very few remember what happens when they’re used, and 2. Noone thinks we’ll use them… IMHO it’s way past tme to change both of those issues..

Martinjmpr

So what’s your point? We should stay in Afghanistan forever? Or until they are a functioning and moderate state (which will never happen?)

The biggest mistake we made during the Cold War was seeing commies under the bed everywhere we looked.

There’s no reason for us to do the same with “radical islam.” And there is certainly no reason for us to keep expending blood and treasure in Afghanistan. We’ve done what we can do. Now it’s time for Afghanistan to stand or fall on its own.

And if it falls, so what? The only reason we even cared about Afghanistan is because the terrorists who conducted the 9/11 attacks used Afghanistan as their base. That’s not going to happen again as we have taken off the gloves and shown that we will attack terrorists no matter which 3rd world shithole they’re in.

I’m not afraid of the Taliban. The Taliban were NEVER able to control all of Afghanistan, even when we WEREN’T beating them like a red-headed step child.

This isn’t the 12th century. The last thing in the world we need is a new crusade.

Martinjmpr

Except that this wouldn’t stop with the Taliban regaining control with Afghanistan. If you read, “Holy War Incorporated,” Osama Bin Laden was already making plans to expand the Taliban style government on steroids… Beyond Afghanistan’s border.

(Dr. Phil Voice): And how’s that working out for them? 😉

rgr769

What Martinjumper doesn’t understand is that although he doesn’t care about the Slamonazi’s, they care about him and the rest of us. Their plan for him involves the removal of his head. And now they have both a senator and a member in the house.

Martinjmpr

Continuing my thought: There’s another side of this though:

If it’s “their” (i.e. the Afghans) war to fight, then it also ought to be up to them to decide how to fight it. Expecting a 3rd world country to live up to the kinds of ROE that we impose on our own forces is setting them up for failure.

If anything, this is yet another reason for us to pull our forces out. Right now the Afghans are stuck trying to obey overly restrictive ROE while fighting an enemy whose only ROE is “whatver you need to win, do it.”

Veritas Omnia Vincit

Mason that is in fact what is prior to the end of WW1, it was the Brits who foisted that mess on us.

From 1800s to the end of WW1 it was three provinces Mosul/Baghdad/Basra.

The Kurds tried to create their own state at that same time and succeeded for a short while.

So yes three separate provinces/nations now would be a wise idea as well, except other players in the region might try assimilating the smaller components.

Mason

Interesting. My knowledge of history in that part of the world is rather limited before WWI.

GDContractor

Didn’t the British negotiate a peace before they retreated from Kabul to Jbad?

A Proud Infidel®™

Afghanistan is also known as “The Graveyard of Empires”, just ask the Brits, French and Russians.

5th/77th FA

Why in the hell are we even “negotiating” with the Taliban anyhow. Phuque them. Pull all of the American Boys and Girls out, all of the American Treasury, tools, equipment…everything. Leave a few Global Hawk type Hell Fire Platforms handy, or a B1B loaded with some cruise missiles.

These SOBs have been killing one another for 1000s of years and will still be killing one another 1000s of years from now. If the whole damn place was nuked to oblivion and only 2 survived, those two would attack one another with fist.

Nearly 18 years of blood and treasure spent. Nearly 18 years of training. Most of us were trained to be lean, green killing machines in 6 months to a year. I guess we are that much smarter.

Martinjmpr

You know, that’s another good point. War Figthing 101 seems to be pretty clear that you can either (a) negotiate or (b) fight the war until one side or the other admits defeat.

You can’t do both. So at the point where we start “negotiating” with our enemies, we take “victory” off the table.

Look at the Korean war. We started negotiations in mid 1951. The war dragged on for two freakin’ years beyond that and tens of thousands of killed and wounded, and when the final ceasefire was agreed to, the position of the combatants was pretty close to where they were in 1951.

Look at Vietnam. We started negotiating with the North Vietnamese government (and by association, with the VC) in early 1967. At that point, there was ZERO possibility of “winning” the war, so every casualty that occurred after that time was someone who died for .. what? So LBJ wouldn’t ‘lose face?’ So the Democrats wouldn’t go down in history as the party that “lost Vietnam” (as they had been accused of “losing” China in 1949?)

If it’s time to negotiate then it’s time to stop fighting and pull out. Because all “negotiation” guarantees is that whoever walks away first will “lose” and since there’s nothing in Afghanistan that is worth the blood of even ONE American soldier, that will always be us.

And that shouldn’t really concern us too much, to be realistic. Afghanistan is one of those “tar baby” countries that NOBODY wants.

It’s like the old joke: You just entered a contest to win a trip: First prize is a week in Afghanistan.

Second prize is two weeks. 😉

timactual

My recollection (which may be a bit off after 17 years) of the reason we invaded Afghanistan is that the Taliban sheltered Al Qaeda. If the Taliban has learned their lesson and says it won’t shelter them again I say we should declare victory and get the hell out.

As far as I am concerned, at this point any excuse is a good excuse.

Martinjmpr

^^^ What he said.

“Winning” in Afghanistan won’t happen because to quote James Caan’s character of SFC Clell Hazard in the movie “Gardens of Stone”, there is “nothing to win and no way to win it.”

Docduracoat

The inept and corrupt Afghan government is doomed to fall after we leave.
Whether we leave in 2 months or another 2 decades.
The Taliban are lying and will not keep any of their promises.
We need to get out and cut our losses.

Martinjmpr

Thebesig: I’m not going to respond to every point you made, but I’m a student of history too (my undergrad major.) We grossly overestimated both the capabilities of the Soviets and the “unity” of the World Communist movement. In reality, most of the “communist” countries were simply repeating Soviet propaganda points so they could get Soviet support for their nationalist and anti-colonialist movements that were not, contrary to the paranoid beliefs of too many in the US, a part of a sinister conspiracy to surround the US and deprive us of our precious bodily fluids. I see much the same with the current gross inflation of the capabilities of the so-called Islamic radicals. When I look at the world I don’t see the failing Western democracies fighting a desperate rearguard action against a relentless and conquering tide of Islamic power. I see a more or less functioning world that is doing its own thing and minding its own business while a small number of crazy Muslims continue to undermine the development of THEIR OWN countries and try to drag them back to the 11th century while the rest of the world just tries to keep them contained in their own dusty parts of the globe. That’s not to say the radicals – particularly where they’ve infiltrated the Muslim communities in Europe – are not dangerous, they are. But they are not an existential threat because they’ll never be able to do more than just stage the occasional random attack and kill a few dozen people with bombs or automatic weapons. Now that’s horrible for the people who get killed or injured, and for their families too, but it doesn’t threaten the foundations of liberal Western society because the power to destroy is never enough: They also have to have the power to accomplish something. And what have the radical islamists accomplished? What have they actually done? They haven’t even managed to topple the rotten edifice that is Syria. Libya? OK, I’ll give them that. They got Libya. And they got Egypt, but then they lost it again so that doesn’t… Read more »