Winter-like Atmospheric Pattern in the Middle of Summer
That’s what the headlines should’ve said. Instead, we have one title suggesting, “Odd weather pattern”, and another saying, “Unusual midsummer weather pattern”. A referenced speaker argued that July wouldn’t have been his guess for a weather pattern like this happening.
Tweet by National Weather Service, Tampa Bay:
“If someone randomly showed up with this satellite image and told me to guess what month it was from…July would not be my first guess. It wouldn’t be my second or third guess either.”
Why?
This isn’t what’s expected in July because this is something that normally happens in the winter. Snow and rain are precipitation in different states. According to the National Severe Storms Laboratory website, 1 inch of rain could equal 13 inches of snow.
Had July’s rain fell as snow, my area would’ve gotten approximately five to six feet of snow by July 29, 2018, with half of that falling the week leading to the 29th.
This “unusual condition” happened back to back, and would be similar to having two back-to-back cold dips in the winter, with accompanying snows.
If this same condition were to occur in the winter, the east would’ve experienced a serious snow dump. Folks in some areas would still be inconvenienced by the aftermath.
And, instead of last month’s flooding, some areas would’ve received enough snowfall to cave roofs in.
In both cases, the jet stream pushed south and dropped temperatures on the eastern half of the U.S. to below average. There have been reports of snow in Canada further north in the same area as the dip… In July, in an area that normally doesn’t get snow in the middle of summer.
It’s winter in the southern hemisphere, they’re getting a beating in areas that normally don’t get a winter beat down.
The extent of the cold/frigid air from the Antarctic is larger than usual. During the times that I’ve tracked global weather, the southern hemisphere’s winters have been a good predictor of what winter would be like in the northern hemisphere.
And, judging by what already happened in the northern part of North America, and in parts of Eurasia this summer, there’s a good indication that this year will be another short Arctic melting year.
The above graphic is from Denmark’s Polar Portal as of August 6, 2018. Different colors represent different ice thickness. Didn’t someone predict a high likelihood that this wouldn’t be there?
Here’s what it looked like back in July 6, 2018:
The black trend, in the inset, is the current average Arctic sea ice volume. The grey trend is the average sea ice volume from 2004 to 2013. The grey area is the spread of the Arctic sea ice thickness averages.
This year’s average Arctic Sea Ice Volume is above average. Also, as of this posting, we have less than a month left of the Arctic ice melt season.
If trends hold, we’re looking at a possibility of an early fall, followed by an early, long, rough winter. This includes snowfall, cold, and snowstorm record potentials.
Get your snow shovels before the summer is over. Not many are thinking about winter preparation right now, so prices and availability should be favorable. Get anything else that you’d normally get to prepare for a blizzard while supplies are still plentiful.
Category: Global Warming, Politics
OMG, quick someone call Al Gore, This has to be global warming??? Run for your lives, the sky is falling!
MANBEARPIG!
I wish I could ‘like’ this one thousand times.
Screw Princess Al Gore and his lack of retraction.
He dodges a question regarding a prediction he made in his previous documentary:
Oh, yes, and the National Geographic has now admitted that they lied about that photo of the “starving polar bear” (dying of cancer, in reality) to get their readership bumped up… among all the other things they’ve done that were wack-o – er, incorrect.
As I recall, a couple years ago there was a study that showed Polar Bear numbers have actually increased over 100% or something higher? Which, is a likely reason why it might seem they are having a tougher time surviving. Because the territories are getting smaller and/or tougher to find food in.
Yes, the polar bear population groups have increased, as have some of the other bears such as Kodiak grizzlies.
The so-called drop in population census was – well, made up out of snowflakes and dust bunnies, to fulfill an agenda by the warmians and AlGoremanbearpig.
Not only have they increased in population, the growing Arctic Ice Sheet actually challenged their ability to survive. They had to travel further to hunt seal and other prey. They’ve been forced to rummage through garbage cans, bringing them into conflict with people.
It wasn’t just them, many whales had to be rescued due to unexpected ice growth.
There was another case of the polar bear clinging to shrinking ice. They reported that part, but not the fact that it was within swimming distance to a larger ice sheet. The part of the polar bear that drowned because “the gap between ice grew?” Turned out that it got blown out to sea, and it ended up drowning. Otherwise, there was plenty of ice.
Speaking of which, these photographs show it being sunny as the polar bear struggles with a single piece of ice… The sun raises during the spring and remains in the sky during this part of the year.
What they don’t mention is that during the fall, the ice freezes back and, during the winter, it’s “perpetual night” until the spring arrives.
No, no, no, IT’S TRUMP’S FAULT, Al Gore Junior himself said that the Polar Ice Caps would be History by what, 2014 and they’re still there, it’s GOT TO be a huge TrumpBushHitlerCheneyHalliburton conspiracy!!!
If there isn’t any rain, it’s “global warming”. If it’s too much rain and we have floods, it’s “global warming”. 🙄
…I blame the Illuminati.
As dumb as too many Brits are…they were smart enough to ban this lying A.H
This might be an odd pattern or not. The major problem is the jet stream was identified about 100 years ago and even less for its mapping. Who really knows if this odd or normal in the long run. Same problem for all weather. The National Archives indicate the textual records for basic weather records in the US only go back to 1735(Harvard University). Every time they say its the hottest ever or coldest ever it has to be put in that context.
*context*
Changed that for you.
I’ve been tracking global weather since 2007, when my area received two snow showers in early April when we normally had our second heat wave. I’ve noticed that it has been getting colder/cooler at lower latitudes, and at lower elevations. Winters have been getting longer and colder, while summers have been losing their punch.
The triple digit areas this summer? I saw that when I first started tracking global weather back in 2007. As that decade progressed, those areas got smaller and weaker. Also, as we got into this decade, I noticed that atmospheric circulation patterns changed.
The jest stream, which normally stayed above the Canadian border during the summer, started to push down through the US during the summer months. In the past few years, we’ve had occasions of the summer version of the “polar vortex”.
This, in tern, is in lockstep with similar changes that have been going on with the sun. They’ve had these records for centuries now. The sun is currently in a solar minimum, that’s looking more and more like the Maunder and Dalton Minimums, when we were in a mini ice age.
History supports the arguments that I’ve made above. I’ve been making long range forecasts regarding how our winters will behave, with my Facebook posts. My predictions have been accurate.
Historic trends don’t lie. As you indicate, they should put max hot and cold temps into context. Solar winds are weakening, the magnetic field is weakening, more cosmic rays are entering the atmosphere, and we’ve been on a cooling trend for years now. The atmosphere has contracted, and we’re seeing the jet stream behave accordingly.
What was weird for us in Texas about 6 weeks ago, is for about 2 weeks, all of our “weather” was moving across the state from east to west.
High pressure system rotating clockwise. It was dropping temperatures in my area while raising them in your area.
Systems like that drag down cooler temperatures from further north on the east side of the system, and drag up warmer temperatures from further south towards the west side.
Here’s an interesting bit of info: I watched Felix Baumgartner’s sponsored ascent to the edge of the atmosphere, start to finish. When he got up there, and before he took his famous leap into the unknown, his outside camera was focused on the balloon that had lifted him that far up. At that height, with little to no wind, you’d think it would be in a steady state, but there was just enough heat from the sun to warm and expand the gas in the balloon and lift it, and then it would cool and sink just slightly.
Good lesson in solar/atmospheric influences.
So now, if the magnetic field is finally weakening enough to move the Northern end down to the Southern end, what effect will that have on the upper atmosphere?
Will it begin to erode, which is what has been happening to Mars since something whacked it and blew its core out to the surface?
Also, is volcanic activity going to increase?
This ought to be really, really interesting.
Our magnetic field has strengthened and weakened in cycles. This current weakening is associated with what will be a polar shift.
The magnetic field is our second line of defense, after the Sun’s solar winds, against cosmic rays. Cosmic rays tend to increase rain and cloud formation.
Both, weak solar activity and a weakening magnetic field point to ice age conditions.
That’s always been my logical problem with global warming. You’re telling me that the thermometers we’re using now are as accurate as the ones used 100, 200, and more years ago?
At best, we’ve got 50-100 years of data on a planet that’s 4 billion years old. That’s an infinitesimal percentage. That’s like watching one player do a practice warm up at the first spring training game and predicting what the player’s batting percentage for each game of the season will be.
Also, many of the official thermometers are sitting in heat pockets. Many of them are at international airports, where there’s a lot of heat from the concrete and surrounding structures. They even found some of these thermometers close to barbeque grills and heat exhaust.
They have indirect measurements from ice core samples from both Greenland and Antarctica. They actually show a declining trend over the past two thousand years, as well as a declining trend from the Holocene Maximum.
Wicked nice summer in Aroostook County.
Largest county east of the Mississippi!
Very high percentage of veterans!
The winters are brutal but that’s a feature.
Thank you Algore.
Speaking of Fat Al, I want his big fat azz out in my driveway this year shoveling all his global warming out. He could use the exercise by the looks of him. He’s managed to evade that task every year and I’ve had to resort to the snowblower… He reminds me of Mr. Haney on Green Acres, just less honest and less funny.
He’ll be busy ensuring that his carbon footprint remains big. He refused to take the challenge that he requested from others. Al Gore has made money from people believing in man mad global warming.
Keep all snow north of the Mason-Dixon line this winter, please and thank you.
When the Mexicans have been enduring freezing temperatures, ice, and snow, in parts of their northern states in the past few years, that’s going to be a tough order to fill.
*winter
Snow has fallen in areas in the Northern Hemisphere during the summer, that normally don’t get snow during the summer.
We knew what you meant, changed that for you.
Sorry, I was temporarily transposed for work in bad winters in Maryland and Pennsylvania for a few years (just call me a reverse carpetbagger). Having bad flashbacks of shoveling snow in March and late April.
I’ll say no thank you to the snow anytime of the year.
It keeps freezing over in hell (snowing in Baghdad) so I don’t see this as likely either.
weather it’s hot or weather it’s cold, there will always be weather, weather or not. Bring back Eric Sloane.
I’m a New Englander, the plow got painted in May and put in storage in May, it’ll get pulled out in mid October or early November for a fluid change.
Winter used to be 4-ish months with a rare subzero event, now it’s 6+ with subzero temps over multiple days.
Global warming my hind foot.
Parts of Alaska are already experiencing subzero weather.
Omigod! I failed to check the Chilean ski reports for snow depths in July! Thanks for reminding me! It also affects whether or not there is snow cover in the Atacama Desert, Chile’s ‘never snows or rains here’ iconic dries spot on Earth.
In concert with your observations, thebesig, I get photos of snow when it falls earlier or later than it should. All date and time stamped, too, for accuracy. The weather in my area (35 mi north of Chicago) was so cold in April that the trees and bushes did not have a bud break until 2nd week in May. Even the willows showed zero leaf-outs.
Cold weather stayed cold until July. I ran the furnace until mid-June, and then, of course, we had a heat wave in July and naturally, my fridge freezer’s defroster quit on July 4th, when the repairman was out of town! That was fun!
I also went to the MODIS imaging site to check on meltback in Hudson’s Bay. It was still less than 50% melted in mid-June.
Add the current ZERO solar activity, and the prior low-level and/or zero solar activity cycles (since 2006) to the mix, and yes, things are changing.
Now is definitely a good time to stock the pantry, freezer, and empty shelves.
Thanks for the article. Keep ’em coming!
Here’s the Chilean snow reports for 8 of 9 resorts. Eight are open for business, one isn’t quite ready yet.
https://www.skiresort.info/snow-reports/chile/
Also, Ace Hardware is starting to put out snowblowers for inspection. You can probably get a good gas grill at a lower price if you go at the right time.
I know people who would use the grill for cooking steak in a blizzard, instead of being indoors. If I can ever find a small charcoal grill that doesn’t look like a refugee from a Mongol family’s yurt….
Ex-PH2, try the hibachi made by Lodge, 100% cast iron, made in the USA and OH will it grill a steak, burger, Bratwurst or anything you put on it! They cost around $90 but I’ve had mine for at least fifteen years.
Thank you, API, I will take a look at it.
You could see the ice cover in the July 6, 2018, graphic above, there was still ice in the Hudson Bay as of July 6, 2018.
The Laurentide Ice Sheet, that covered a lot of North America during the Ice Age, reportedly started along the Canadian Arctic Islands, which include those near the Hudson Bay.
Dito with vegetation. Vegetation in my area normally gets its start in late February, Early March. But it wasn’t until we were well into April that our trees and vegetation started to bud and have leaves.
You forget the rules of Climate Change playbook.
If the temperature goes up that is climate change.
If the temperature goes down that is also climate change.
Either one is bad, both are caused by AR-15s AK47’s and pro life protestors. And for the NYT crowd: White men.
A group of researchers considered dinosaur farts as a “contributor” to global warming:
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/media-blows-hot-air-about-dinosaur-flatulence-84170975/
AOL Link
So, weather-guessers admit that their predictions are based on a coin toss. No surprise here.
They like to hype of the El Niños, but different El Niños have different levels of warming and moisture production. One combination needed, to create glaciation, is warming oceans and cooling landmasses. Also, with temperatures rapidly declining in the northern latitudes, when the El Niño does kick in, it will have a lower temperature baseline to work with. Plus, it’ll bring with it the moisture needed for massive snow dumping in places. They generally create summers that aren’t as hot as normal.
I read a couple of articles that argued that the entire Arctic Ice Sheet’s disappearance would actually be the trigger point for us entering a mega ice age.
For every Yin there is a Yang.
AccuWeather Guesser Link
John Ringo, the Weather Prophet.
“The Last Centurion” is certainly a good read. Fortunately “The Bitch” of that book did not snatch the White House. Orange you glad?
Kratman’s “A State of Disobedience” is another good “might have been – glad its not” book.
(Next Carrera book later this year. Hooah!)
Love that book! I’ve probably read it a dozen times (great fire season read! ). Ringo’s assessment of a Hildabeast presidency is spot on.
The “climate treaties” were just a phony front to get money redistributed. But, this is just a step towards what the UN is driving at regarding “man made global warming”, a global government.
Lord Christopher Monckton challenged Al Gore to a climate debate, Al Gore failed to take him up on it. Here he is talking about the justifications for the UN’s aims with its global warming initiative:
Sure would be nice if we could get some of that weather where I’m at! I’m not complaining about my overtime checks, mind you, but it’s fucking hot in California right now, hotter than usual for summers here, and some snow would be nice!
We have 3 seasons in Mid Georgia. Hot, Humid, and January.