Monitoring Iran
I haven’t written anything about this upcoming deal with Iran over their nuclear program mostly because I haven’t had an opportunity to read it yet. However, there is something I do know – politicians. The Associated Press reports that the Obama Administration is confident that they’ll be able to keep track of the Iranians’ nuclear program;
The main reason, according to a classified joint intelligence assessment presented to Congress, is that the deal requires Iran to provide an unprecedented volume of information about nearly every aspect of its existing nuclear program, which Iran insists is peaceful. That data will make checking on compliance easier, officials say, because it will shrink Iran’s capacity to hide a covert weapons program.
“We will have far better insight (into) the industrial aspects of the Iranian nuclear program with this deal than what we have today,” James Clapper, the director of national intelligence, told an audience last month at the Aspen Security Forum.
I have no doubt that they’ll recognize when Iran is cheating, but my concern is will they be willing to do anything about it? I mean, they’ve known for more than a decade that Iran was supplying terrorists with stuff to kill our troops in Iraq during that war and they’ve done nothing about that. For years, we’ve been redrawing the line in the sand in regards to the Iranian nuclear program. Why would the Iranians take any threat seriously to restore the sanctions against them? Look how long it took to institute the sanctions in the first place.
Part of the deal with North Vietnam was that we’d send troops back to South Vietnam in the event that the North invaded the South, well, we know how that turned out. Once politicians sign on to a deal, they forget all about it as if just signing it makes everything better. Like they actually accomplished something. Then it’s all for the next president to worry about.
Category: Terror War
I wouldn’t be so sure that detecting a violation will be a given, Jonn.
The deal reputedly gives Iran either 21 or 24 days notice of any on-site inspections. That’s a lot of time to hide stuff and/or clean equipment to remove residue – or replace it if the residual indicators can’t be removed.
This is similar to a First Sergeant telling the troops their is a drug test next week. The troops don’t get caught usually, so nobody looks bad.
Ignorance is bliss!
Trying to catch the cheating by analyzing self-reported data may well work wonderfully – but it’ll be because six months after they start cheating, the roll-up reports on payroll don’t align with the attendance details or the satellite imagery or something. It’ll be an anomaly of some sort, which requires further research, maybe additional reports – and in another few months, when it’s not cleared up, we can go back and ask for clarification. Then more reports, more data, more analysis, and finally, 18 months after they started cheating, we’ll find it – incontrovertible evidence of…wait, what was that big bang we just heard out in the desert?
And, depending on who’s talking, there is little to no chance that any military site will be inspected, at all. I’ll go with no chance, as it’s the commander of the Revolutionary Guards who’s saying no inspections. I think he probably takes his orders directly from the Ayatollah.
We aren’t even part of the verification team. We are banned from inspection and verification. We have to rely on others. Also, there are several military sites that are suspected of conducting nuke ops that are off limits to any inspections and verification. That makes this whole thing a big f-ing joke.
Yep, Jonn. My thoughts exactly. This bunch of clowns certainly has the capability of monitoring, or they did until the tools to do so were “negotiated” away, but we have seen no desire to either use them or do anything about violations of this “treaty.”
What we have seen is extraordinary energy spent giving away national security and anything else which might even remotely be in our national best interests. It begins to look like making this such a mess is intentional.
That “line in the sand” has been redrawn so many times that it’s current location is Galveston Beach.
I’m beginning to wonder if that line isn’t several miles inland by now.
Somewhere around Omaha?
Of course we know they’re cheating, they’ve never stopped fucking cheating….a deal with Iran is like being married to a whore, you know there’s cheating involved and you don’t even have to see it to confirm it.
Iran is a giant lying sack of shit that makes every shitbag poser on this site look like a male version of Mother Theresa…
Obama and company are so busy trying to create a legacy they never stopped to consider what that legacy might actually look like when the dust settles.
We aren’t going to do jack shit to Iran, they’ll have a weapon before the deal runs out and shortly after the deal runs out they’ll be firing missile tests throughout the ME…
Trump said one thing that made sense to me, kill our enemies and take their fucking oil…if you can’t trust any of these rat fucks you need to either avoid them entirely or own them entirely anything else just perpetrates misery.
what a nightmare of a treaty… WTF is wrong with people in the DNC ????
If Obama had spent one tenth the time negotiating with the legitimate government of Iraq as be did the Iranian dictatorship, there wouldn’t be an ISIS flag flying over most of the territory our soldiers fought and died for. And a strong but democrat Iraq was supposed to keep Iran and Syria in check. And therefore Russia by proxy.
Weakness has consequences
How about making it a simple treaty: You in Iran can do whatever you want. The first nuke test in Iran or from some client terrorist group, we reduce every population center to rubble. The crossroads of the mideast will become the parking lot of the mideast. Understand?