Assassination attempt increased Donald Trump’s odds at winning in November

| July 15, 2024

A leading bookmaker had Donald Trump at 62.5% chances of winning the Presidential Election in November. After the assassination attempt, that number jumped up to 73.3%. This appears to be a conclusion that many on the left are also coming to. Looking back at when there was an assassination attempt against Ronald Reagan, the latter’s approval ratings jumped up. Don’t be surprised if the same thing happens to Donald Trump.

From Newsweek:

Donald Trump is significantly more likely to win the 2024 presidential election after an apparent attempt to assassinate him on Saturday left him injured, according to a leading bookmaker.

A gunman opened fire on a Trump rally near Butler, in Pennsylvania, on Saturday, killing one attendee and leaving two others seriously wounded, according to a Secret Service spokesperson.

Broadcast footage from the event showed Trump was struck on his right ear, leaving it bleeding, before he was surrounded by Secret Service agents and led from the stage after defiantly raising his hand in a clenched fist. The suspected attacker, who the FBI identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks, was shot and killed by return fire.

On Saturday, prior to the assassination attempt, Trump’s odds of winning the 2024 presidential election were 8/15 (65.2 percent) according to William Hill, a U.K. based betting company. However, after the shooting, this was slashed to a 4/11 (73.3 percent) chance of Trump achieving victory.

Newsweek contacted representatives of the 2024 Trump and President Joe Biden’s campaigns for comment on Sunday via email outside of usual office hours.

Additional Reading:

Bickerton, J. Donald Trump’s chances of winning election soar after shooting. Newsweek. Link.

Category: 2024 Election, Donald Trump, Society

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HT3

This meme says it all

Barbie-USSS
Skippy

DEI definitely set in motion the events on Saturday

MustangCryppie

When I first saw that female agent struggling to holster up and then had to commit the mortal sin of looking at the holster, that’s when I knew they weren’t using the “A Team” here. More like “F Troop”.

When I was in the police academy, they hammered into our peabrains that we had to develop the muscle memory to access any tool on our tool belt WITHOUT looking. And to this day, whenever I’m at a range and finish shooting, I always check my six for additional threats.

Graybeard

Somehow I missed that fumble.

That is incompetence. If you have to take your eyes off the threat or the environment in which the threat occurred, you’re incompetent. And likely to become dead.

SFC D

She had no idea which way to look. She’s supposed to be covering the six on the entourage hustling Trump to the vehicle. She’s looking everywhere else.

5JC

I will cut her a tiny bit of slack because I’m sure she was going through post adrenaline let down. That tends to play hell with your muscular coordination. That is the exact reason that we train muscle memory.

If she didn’t get enough training, I’m not sure who’s fault that is? To me that sounds like a leadership issue. But either way, overall I think she did a sucky job.

MustangCryppie

No matter the situation, I never looked at my holster. She obviously needed a lot more training.

Fyrfighter

In her defense, she probably has a much bigger muffin top blocking her holster than you do…

That doesn’t really need a /sarc does it??

SFC D

Nope. Because it’s true.

e.

Even our beloved Dolly would likely have a slight delay.

jeff LPH 3 63-66

For 37 years my S&W Mod.10 .38/S&W Mod 4046 .40 came and went into my holster without looking at the holster going in and out of customers places always with situation awareness always going on.while with Brink’s.

2banana

That’s a heck of a free democracy.

Odie

Take cover everybody, that low rumbling sound you will soon hear will be the sound of liberal heads preparing to explode after hearing what the new odds are.

Hack Stone

What’s the casualty radius of a Liberal’s head exploding? Probably minimal, as there is not much inside.

RGR 4-78

It’s the biohazard you have to look out for.

A Proud Infidel®™

It’s that it’s SO MUCH FUN to hear it go *POP!* when it blows, and yes, watch out for that foul pus that was inside the head, it’s nasty!

Graybeard

My thoughts:
They will be driven to try again because they done fornicated fido now.

KoB

^Word^ If the ballot box doesn’t do the job you can bet that the cartridge box is going to come into play.

One would think that after what President Trump has learned of the corruption that is rife in the grubermint that he would not trust his life to the SS to protect him. You may recall one of Clancy’s yarns (Executive Orders) had a deeply planted mole in the SS whose mission was to assassinate Jack Ryan.

Slow Joe

“Grubermint” 😄
I am stealing this one, KoB.
Better than the Gruberment I always use.

President Elect Toxic Deplorable Racist SAH Neande

I call it “Gooberment”

HT3

Trump keeps winning…
Cue Lars’ heading exploding like the guy in ‘Scanners’

Screenshot-2024-07-15-101120
jeff LPH 3 63-66

Just heard same on newsmax a few minutes ago

Skippy

I guess the AG is going to re-file the case

Hack Stone

So, we’re not doing the “respect the court decision” thing anymore?

5JC

That is so pre J2. Court rulings are now an “attack on Rule of Law”. Please try to keep up.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-urging-respect-justice-system-claims-scotus-immunity-ruling-attack-rule-law

5JC

It’s about time. Now to get that b******* records case thrown out. I don’t know which was worse, that one or the one where the lady couldn’t remember where or when Trump had supposedly said something to somebody.

I hope he guts the DOJ as soon as he gets into office. That place needs to be burnt to the ground (metaphorically).

Hack Stone

Burning to the ground is the only way to ensure no remaining incriminating evidence to examine.

MustangCryppie

BWAHAHAHA! Yeah BABY! Ameruhkuh! FUCK YEAH!

SFC D

He’ll be here soon to tell us how we’re all brainwashed cultists that love fascism. He can’t stay away. We’re all he has, the poor bastard.

Odie

CBS, NBC, whichever, was talking about Jack Smiths appointment and how constitutional it was. Everything I’ve read is he was appointed by Garland and not approved by congress or the senate.

Wouldn’t that make it unconstitutional and illegal?

5JC

Yeah that was the entire reason the case got thrown out. The attorney general has no such authority. The leftist media is always talking about rule of law, but they are the first ones to throw it out the window.

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2024/07/Trump_Florida.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwi437fGramHAxVIvokEHV5PAH0QFnoECBUQBQ&usg=AOvVaw143nIS8nvSNdsYIVwZ4G4X

HT3

Ha, that’s funny. Rule of Law is (D)ifferent when we do it say the Dems.

5JC

But once again, the guy that saved the day, was Clarence Thomas. He was the one that pointed that out in the previous filing. When he leaves the bench we will be losing a brilliant mind who is also a strict constitutionalists.

He is everything that the left despises.

HT3

Yes. A SC has to be a Federal Employee I’m almost certain. Kenneth Star that investigated The Clinton’s was a federal appeals judge, and Hack errr Jack Smith is a private citizen. Plus they shipped cartons of documents to MAL he didn’t ask for and then wanted to use the contents of those boxes against DJT. Also, the staging of the photos for shock value. Plus, funding is not within the parameters. They knew this wouldn’t pass the smell test, but they assumed the mass of cases they threw at Trump would make him drop out of the race.

rgr769

Yes, Starr was. But he was serving under the Independent Counsel statute which expired in 1999. He was legit, legally. Smith is not, he should have been appointed by the Groper in Chief and confirmed by the Senate. Kameltoe could have provided the 51st D-rat vote.

rgr769

Yes. He had zero legal authority to act as a US Attorney due to lack of Senate confirmation.

5JC

Not only that but everything that he did is now tainted. Given how much Garland hates the Congress and holds them in contempt, this has really got to sting.

rgr769

Every thing Smith did is ultra vires, outside his authority, and thus void.

5JC

Not only that but some of the actions that he conducted might be considered a violation of civil rights. If I were Trump I would consider filing A civil rights lawsuit, at the very least to reclaim legal fees. Probably talking about millions of dollars here.

SFC D

The entire circus is just Merrit Garland extracting revenge on the eebil Republicans for keeping him off the Supreme Court.

5JC

The more he does, the happier I am about that.

SFC D

From my understanding, the assigned special prosecutor has to come from the ranks of Assistant US Attorneys. Jack Smith was picked off the street, his political animosity towards Republicans being a yuge qualification.

Hack Stone

Hack Stone is contemplating that everything that has transpired over the last week as to (see what Hack did there?) the 2024 Presidential Election is part of a vast chicken wing conspiracy to fuck with Commissar to, despite his vow to never return to TAH, in order to compel to come here and tell us that we are inherently racist, misogynistic, and we leave the toilet seat up after peeing. Discuss among yourselves.

SFC D

We all know he’s watching… and you’re supposed to put the seat up?

5JC

I wasn’t going to say anything but now that it’s almost all done I don’t see the harm.

Shortly after the failure of the conspiracy of dunces on J6 Martha Bomgardner, using her vast number of friends on Facebook, and a clever system of signaling using flags, organized the greatest coup in the history of the United States. She was playing 3D chess while the Democrats were playing checkers.

Once Trump is reelected she will control him like a puppet. She will then have control of two out of three of the branches of the federal government. Not that it matters because according to the Democrats, if you are president you can do whatever you want and there’s no accountability to anyone for anything.

Her fascist agenda consists of three major points:

1. Capital punishment for overdue books from the library after 30 days. There really isn’t any excuse for that anyway.

2. Italian food will only be served two nights a week. No more, no less.

3. Blue Falcons.

SFC D

They can’t fuck with Commissar like that, only WE can fuck with Commissar like that!

Marine0331

God bless America and God Bless Donald Trump!! Oh, and Let’s Go Brandon and Phuck Barry Zero too!!

Skippy

The democrats are having a bad day

President Elect Toxic Deplorable Racist SAH Neande

A Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day

NDHoosier

Not NEARLY bad enough for my taste.

A Proud Infidel®™

Every time the D-rats have a time like this I truly enjoy some Schadenfreude.

5JC

The election is practically over. Trump was already so far ahead the odds of him winning were super good. I will take a 63:37 bet every time. Unless they have a real video of Trump on Epstein Island sleeping with 3 12-year-olds, and smoking crack while drowning a puppy. I know they can do stuff with AI and say put Trump’s head on Clinton’s body, but I don’t think people are going to buy it. It would take something super significant at this point to change anything.

Liberal media is already gone back to calling Trump a Nazi and telling everybody he’s the greatest threat to civilization since Genghis Khan. But that message has gotten a little bit tired, really fast. There will still be some believers in the leftist extremism but it’s really hard to take them seriously when people are dying for real.

Most telling, The left has completely surrendered on trying to replace Bite me.. When it looked like there could be a chance of winning people were lining up around the street. Absolutely nobody wants to go down on that ship now. I can’t say I blame them any. Basically you would be signing up to get your ass kicked.

Hack Stone

Being on the Biden-Harris Reelection Committee is like winning a trip on Titanic. They better head on over to Carmax now and unload that EV now, because come November there will be a plethora of gently used Teslas in the National Capital Region used car market.

jeff LPH 3 63-66

I read that the shooter was in the H.S. rifle club/team and was let go because he was a bad shooter on the range, so
possibly because of this, he wanted to show his marksmanship and tried Saturday so everyone in the world would know his name. Just a thought that I wanted to mention or because he listened to all the Hitler B.S. the lame stream media was spreading.

RIP fellow Volly Fire Chief Cori

26Limabeans

My dog could have made that shot.

5JC

Technically he made the shot. Trump was correct in saying he shouldn’t be here now. He turned his head just enough. We will never know why that happened, we are just lucky that it did.

Now we can have fascism forever. I want to be in on the invasion to Canada during the war to unite North America for the master race of Americans. We know that they’re military is s*** so it should be pretty easy.

Odie

I hear Algonquin provincial Park is nice this time of year.

RCAF-CHAIRBORNE

I’ll be your Resistance man on the inside.
Let’s wipe out the Liberals in both of our country and unite.

rgr769

Two divisions could defeat Canuckistan. Fidel’s love child would flee to Havana.

RCAF-CHAIRBORNE

Naw. Ceausescu style

Anonymous
Dennis - not chevy

I think President Biden’s home team let him down when they showed him going up the steps to Air Force One. He looked tired and very much alone. Of course, had some one helped him up the steps it would also appear to make him look as bad. They should have, and I’m glad they didn’t, skipped the photo op. Sympathy is not the way to get votes.

Trump, on the other hand, looked strong, and may I say defiant, walking off the stage.

Slow Joe

They are going to try again

IMG_4474
Dennis - not chevy

I was going to suggest replacing the bird with a road runner; but, unlike the democrats, the coyote is a character with whom I can identify.

Hack Stone

We haven’t seen Progressives this upset since Hillary Clinton lost to a basket of Deplorables.

https://www.foxnews.com/media/msnbc-yanks-anti-trump-morning-joe-off-air-following-assassination-attempt

Slow Joe

I saw a lot of pony tails in Trump’s detail.
That worries me. DEI have destroyed our institutions.
It used to be that when I saw a girl doing a man’s job I thought very highly of her.
Now I cannot tell whether it is a diversity hire or someone who has really earned her spot in the team.
Everything the Left touches goes to hell.

Amateur Historian

Well, it looks like I’ll likely be sharing a whole bunch of videos (as they’re released) this coming week or weeks since the assassination attempt on President Trump. I’m still pretty pissed.

Anyway, here are some New York Republicans going off on reporters for suggesting that it was Trump’s fault he got shot (it’s along the same vein of people saying it was JFK’s fault he got his head blown off (which no one fucking does!!!)):

5JC

Yep, that’s the one I was talking about. You can literally see them swinging verbal baseball bats.

Sapper3307

YUP

451204253_500927135781076_1583191711415938098_n
Deckie

I hope it works out for him. JD Vance did spout some pretty nasty stuff during the Trump years and COVID. Whatever terms they came to in order to pair up — I hope it’s still a winning team.

Hack Stone

Kamala Harris called Joe Biden a racist and rapist, and they get along great. Look at everything they accomplished since January 20, 2021, what with being unburdened and…. Anyway…

5JC

The spin cycle is currently on high. They’ve had to change him from a blue dog Democrat, to Horatio Alger moderate, to the third coming of Hitler in only 6 years. If only there were internet that was keeping up with these things.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/jd-vance-authoritarian-rnc_n_66969677e4b0e5ea1d600462

Sapper3307

Some spice/

451232276_500554362485020_5210608292226285376_n
Major Tuddy

Don’t get too complacent; a lot can happen between now and November. Remember Jefferson’s admonition about the price of liberty being eternal vigilance.

Major Tuddy

Can the Secret Service be held liable for failing to protect Trump?

https://youtube.com/shorts/gnnZ7EsYX9Y?si=eMT1TW5VGIagyCan

rgr769

No. They likely have law enforcement immunity.

Amateur Historian

Right, I got another video for you guys that was released a couple hours ago by a Youtuber by the name of Warrior Poet Society. First time I’ve seen one of his videos and he does an excellent analysis of the events leading up to the assassin firing, the security procedures and tactics that would normally be employed in this situation, and the actual assets the USSS team had on hand. Here it is:

Skippy

I guess the secret service director released a presser stating she will not be stepping out

Amateur Historian

CYA time, yes?

5JC

It’s like I’ve been saying. Everybody in the bite me administration has the immunity idol. It’s a weird death pact because if one of them tells, They will all go down.

Hack Stone

But she will be attending a midnight picnic at Fort Marcy Park later this week.

5JC

Looks like Cheatle is throwing the locals under the bus for not protecting the POTUS. It’s so weird, last week I thought the secret service was responsible for protecting the president. It’s like you learn something new everyday.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/secret-service-trump-rally-blame/index.html

RGR 4-78

Now she is saying that the roof was sloped so they couldn’t put a team on the roof the shitbag shot from. She must be making this up as she goes.

Trump assassination attempt: Secret Service director faces new heat for ‘sloped roof’ comment (msn.com)

5JC

Yeah there’s no way somebody could have shot from that roof, I’m starting to favor the grassy knoll theory.

RGR 4-78

She might as well lie; a certain amount of the public will believe her without question. A large number will support the lie because it is the party line. And even when caught in the lie, what difference does it make now? She will never be held accountable.

5JC

A certain number of people believe the attack was staged or Trump wanted to get shot. I’ve started to run out of words in my thesaurus for “ridiculous” things people believe.

But I certainly agree that she will never be held accountable for anything, Just like everybody else in the butt me administration.

Last edited 1 month ago by 5JC
Fyrfighter

Dude carried not just a rifle, but also a ladder up to the building, which had LEO team INSIDE, then bystanders spent at least two minutes trying to get LEO to do SOMETHING about the guy with a rifle on the roof…. seems that should have been more than enough time to take some sort of action to prevent the shots..

5JC

I thought this was completely fake news, But apparently it’s not. So what does wonder when the largest Marxist Democratic megadoner on the planet, runs an ad with the guy that tried to kill the competition? Personally I’m going to chalk it up to coincidence, but a very strange one.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/thomas-matthew-crooks-blackrock-ad-pulled/

Last edited 1 month ago by 5JC
Thunderstixx

I know nobody around here believes any conspiracy theories, but you just might after you read this from the founder of the Federalist.
I completely agree, it was a set up, a complete setup…
https://thefederalist.com/2024/07/16/bidens-team-deliberately-kneecapped-trumps-security-to-allow-an-assassination-attempt/

Hack Stone
Hack Stone

If Kimberley Cheatle gets kicked to the curb running the Secret Service, Thomas “Turd” Bolling of Ambassador Worldwide Protection Agency will be brought up from the minor leagues.

Last edited 1 month ago by Hack Stone