{"id":18582,"date":"2010-04-15T07:24:25","date_gmt":"2010-04-15T12:24:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=18582"},"modified":"2010-04-15T07:24:25","modified_gmt":"2010-04-15T12:24:25","slug":"larry-sabato-sez","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/?p=18582","title":{"rendered":"Larry Sabato Sez&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In my previous job I worked monitoring the Congressional Elections, and I was pretty accurate at calling them.  Back then though I was actually meeting with the candidates and getting briefings, reading local papers etc.  Nowadays I don&#8217;t really have time to do that.  <\/p>\n<p>There are a few sources you can look at to see how the elections are shaping up.  Today I wanted to share one, Larry Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball.  Now, I used to be an acolyte of Sabato&#8217;s, until he injected himself into the Virginia Senate race a few years back.  See, if you are objective, you aren&#8217;t actually supposed to be part of the story, only reporting it.  None-the-less, while I no longer admire or respect him in that regard, his prognostications have proven to be among the most accurate year after year.<\/p>\n<p>His current prognosis for 2012:  GOP +7 Senate, +27 House, +7 Governors.<br \/>\nIf I had to guess today I would put it more like GOP +5 Senate, +35 House, +7 Governors.  I think some of the Senators may walk out okay, but I think the House is going to take a drubbing.  Anyway, after the jump I am including the chart for the Senate as well.  Pay special note to the New Mexico 3rd District, which you won&#8217;t find, because it is safe Democrat.  Not that Adam has a chance of winning the primary anyway, but even if he did he would still get beat like a klansman at the Hop Hop Music Awards.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/04\/house-chart.gif?resize=440%2C1321\" alt=\"house-chart\" title=\"house-chart\" width=\"440\" height=\"1321\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-18584\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/04\/house-chart.gif?w=440&amp;ssl=1 440w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/04\/house-chart.gif?resize=341%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 341w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 440px) 100vw, 440px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/04\/senate-chart.gif?resize=440%2C1366\" alt=\"senate-chart\" title=\"senate-chart\" width=\"440\" height=\"1366\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-18583\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In my previous job I worked monitoring the Congressional Elections, and I was pretty accurate at calling them. Back then though I was actually meeting with the candidates and getting briefings, reading local papers etc. Nowadays I don&#8217;t really have time to do that. There are a few sources you can look at to see [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":148,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4ozh1-4PI","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/148"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18582"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18582\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/valorguardians.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}